Petro D. | Research

@PDmytriiev

Will $NVDA close up today? Will gold hold over the weekend? Will SpaceX finish above its strike? @tradexyz now lets you trade all three as Yes/No contracts, and every answer comes from its own order books. Events are fully collateralized outcome contracts that @tradexyz deploys on HyperCore under the venue name txyz. They expire, and they carry no leverage, funding, liquidations or ADL. The launch covers daily up/down markets on XYZ's HIP-3 underlyings plus a first batch of sports. Up/Down markets: → Eight daily markets at launch: $NVDA, $MU, $SNDK, $SKHY, $SPCX, Gold, $WTIOIL and $XYZ100, each with day, evening and weekend sessions → Resolution is a 5-min TWAP of the matching xyz: perp. It takes five 1-min candles, prices each at (H + L + C) / 3, and averages them. Yes needs a result strictly above the strike, and a tie goes to No. → Weekend markets take the strike from Friday's 4pm ET window and resolve at 9:35am ET on Monday, which makes them a direct contract on the weekend gap → SK Hynix runs on Korean hours (day session 9:05am–3:30pm GMT+9), while the other seven follow the US session Sports → The launch set is the 2026 US Open (tournament and match winner), NFL, NCAAF, MLB and soccer, all resolving off ESPN → Results are final 1h after ESPN records them, and later appeals, corrections or reversals do not change settlement → Soccer counts regulation plus stoppage time only. A draw, a no contest or a missed deadline settles at 0.5 rather than voiding the market. Mechanism: → Yes and No share one economic book: buying Yes at p equals selling No at 1 − p, so liquidity posted on either side meets in one place → Multi-outcome questions give each outcome its own book, linked through negate and merge so exactly one outcome settles Yes → Every market is instantiated from a validator-approved HIP-4 template. The result is determined offchain, then pushed onchain as a settleFraction by the txyz deployer or an authorized sub-deployer. → deployerFeeScale is set to 0, so users pay only @HyperliquidX's base outcome rates (0.070% taker / 0.040% maker at tier 0). Fees are charged on close or settlement, and there are no maker rebates. → Outcome volume counts toward the same fee tier as perps, HIP-3 and spot, and $HYPE staking discounts apply @unitxyz @tradexyz https://t.co/VSMtCye6V6

Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC